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Liu P, Elshall AS, Ye M, Beerli P, Zeng X, Lu D, Tao Y.  2016.  Evaluating marginal likelihood with thermodynamic integration method and comparison with several other numerical methods. Water Resources Research. 52(2):734-758.
Lu D, Zhang G, Webster C, Barbier C.  2016.  An improved multilevel Monte Carlo method for estimating probability distribution functions in stochastic oil reservoir simulations. Water Resources Research. 5241195251414317323416856383230103353521794943404344322818034646185112551831944958(1211411631103-4483552):9642-9660.